Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.371285 7.431699 8.578800 9.907595 11.400014 13.019949 14.906663
2025-12-28 5.022709 6.451184 8.115469 10.180819 12.657022 15.511783 19.031975
2026-01-04 4.187005 5.795349 7.778431 10.368582 13.624254 17.540890 22.564789
2026-01-11 3.537276 5.228418 7.418506 10.405821 14.311027 19.175045 25.614794
2026-01-18 2.919989 4.597299 6.873075 10.105145 14.484712 20.112694 27.776242
2026-01-25 2.454054 4.100888 6.434490 9.873439 14.686404 21.045311 29.920196
2026-02-01 2.066556 3.660090 6.014754 9.608478 14.792216 21.818440 31.847592
2026-02-08 1.752946 3.285993 5.644718 9.366419 14.888641 22.552873 33.720228
2026-02-15 1.476968 2.931949 5.262695 9.062401 14.856896 23.083393 35.306486
2026-02-22 1.321060 2.756794 5.138089 9.129510 15.357902 24.368521 37.973925
2026-03-01 1.179756 2.587134 5.002553 9.161694 15.796497 25.568467 40.549284
2026-03-08 1.063626 2.447009 4.900146 9.233063 16.288998 26.855075 43.281310
2026-03-15 0.947841 2.293528 4.762514 9.239094 16.683610 28.019976 45.892678
2026-03-22 0.883094 2.232277 4.781006 9.505762 17.502548 29.850960 49.546486
2026-03-29 0.812970 2.149715 4.751384 9.683537 18.179860 31.482951 52.946176
2026-04-05 0.732805 2.033638 4.646849 9.718760 18.617597 32.752074 55.827206
2026-04-12 0.626550 1.842140 4.377231 9.434451 18.497657 33.131815 57.346086
2026-04-19 0.540822 1.683272 4.154272 9.215416 18.470427 33.647876 59.079704
2026-04-26 0.463271 1.530028 3.925462 8.965010 18.369186 34.031598 60.606014
2026-05-03 0.397554 1.394205 3.717595 8.736311 18.288602 34.437658 62.169228
2026-05-10 0.336099 1.256962 3.490317 8.449161 18.082048 34.618983 63.366459
2026-05-17 0.305726 1.201274 3.439431 8.512538 18.517913 35.889750 66.361283
2026-05-24 0.276329 1.142683 3.375388 8.542934 18.890909 37.061725 69.220856